Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Qingdao Vland Biotech Inc. (603739.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.95 - $20.87$12.12
Multi-Stage$5.67 - $6.19$5.93
Blended Fair Value$9.02
Current Price$13.69
Upside-34.09%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.29%0.61%0.230.160.220.150.130.130.260.250.220.11
YoY Growth--38.88%-24.63%39.64%16.08%5.23%-50.39%2.97%12.29%94.41%-46.63%
Dividend Yield--1.78%1.45%1.48%0.89%0.81%0.79%1.10%2.37%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)83.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.7110.456.27
Cash Retained (M)35.8035.8035.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.71-10.45-6.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.0825.3529.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)244.21244.21244.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.300.32
WACC / Discount Rate9.13%9.13%9.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7.95$12.12$20.87
Upside / Downside-41.90%-11.46%52.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)83.5789.0094.79100.95107.51114.50117.93
Payout Ratio57.16%63.73%70.30%76.87%83.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.7756.7266.6377.5989.70103.05109.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.13%9.13%9.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)51.4951.9852.46
Year 2 PV (M)54.9055.9557.01
Year 3 PV (M)58.0459.7061.40
Year 4 PV (M)60.9063.2465.65
Year 5 PV (M)63.5166.5769.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,096.561,149.531,204.52
Equity Value (M)1,385.401,446.971,510.80
Shares Outstanding (M)244.21244.21244.21
Fair Value$5.67$5.93$6.19
Upside / Downside-58.56%-56.72%-54.81%

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