Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sunstone Development Co., Ltd. (603612.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$236.94 - $279.16$261.61
Multi-Stage$267.08 - $293.18$279.89
Blended Fair Value$270.75
Current Price$26.60
Upside917.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS52.58%12.08%0.501.040.430.170.040.060.330.070.190.22
YoY Growth---52.20%142.69%148.66%309.47%-30.00%-81.57%362.23%-62.33%-14.97%38.59%
Dividend Yield--2.93%8.42%1.85%0.90%0.26%0.57%2.09%0.23%2.31%2.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)709.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)197.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)512.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)141.9188.7053.22
Cash Retained (M)512.17512.17512.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-141.91-88.70-53.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)370.25423.47458.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)505.50505.50505.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.730.840.91
LTM Dividend per Share0.390.390.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.730.840.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.121.231.30
WACC / Discount Rate-7.62%-7.62%-7.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$236.94$261.61$279.16
Upside / Downside790.76%883.50%949.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)709.57755.69804.81857.12912.83972.171,001.33
Payout Ratio27.82%40.26%52.69%65.13%77.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)197.40304.21424.07558.22708.03874.95926.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-7.62%-7.62%-7.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)326.21329.31332.40
Year 2 PV (M)487.64496.93506.30
Year 3 PV (M)688.34708.10728.23
Year 4 PV (M)936.21972.211,009.25
Year 5 PV (M)1,240.611,300.531,362.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)131,332.66137,676.08144,262.27
Equity Value (M)135,011.67141,483.15148,201.20
Shares Outstanding (M)505.50505.50505.50
Fair Value$267.08$279.89$293.18
Upside / Downside904.08%952.21%1,002.17%

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