Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Keeson Technology Corporation Limited (603610.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.93 - $4.18$3.55
Multi-Stage$4.59 - $5.03$4.81
Blended Fair Value$4.18
Current Price$18.83
Upside-77.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS38.29%0.00%1.060.060.370.310.430.210.020.020.260.02
YoY Growth--1,537.76%-82.57%19.89%-28.25%105.95%821.17%0.22%-91.37%1,042.53%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.13%0.57%3.14%2.14%2.55%1.43%0.08%0.08%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)151.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)105.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.3818.9911.39
Cash Retained (M)105.04105.04105.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.38-18.99-11.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)74.6686.0593.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)350.28350.28350.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.250.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.250.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.350.380.40
WACC / Discount Rate9.59%9.59%9.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.93$3.55$4.18
Upside / Downside-84.42%-81.16%-77.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)151.90150.38148.88147.39145.92144.46148.79
Payout Ratio30.85%42.68%54.51%66.34%78.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.8664.1881.1597.78114.06130.01137.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.59%9.59%9.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)57.9858.5759.16
Year 2 PV (M)66.2267.5868.95
Year 3 PV (M)72.0774.3076.57
Year 4 PV (M)75.9479.0982.33
Year 5 PV (M)78.1982.2686.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,256.491,321.921,390.05
Equity Value (M)1,606.881,683.711,763.55
Shares Outstanding (M)350.28350.28350.28
Fair Value$4.59$4.81$5.03
Upside / Downside-75.64%-74.47%-73.26%

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