Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shandong Gold Phoenix Co.,Ltd (603586.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$127.06 - $149.86$140.36
Multi-Stage$86.35 - $95.28$90.73
Blended Fair Value$115.55
Current Price$19.60
Upside489.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.44%0.36%0.460.520.060.760.650.210.440.480.370.36
YoY Growth---11.77%738.71%-91.75%15.68%216.44%-52.75%-8.37%28.87%3.40%-19.56%
Dividend Yield--3.15%3.54%0.41%6.75%4.52%1.22%2.70%2.24%1.20%1.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)157.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)80.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)76.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.4719.6711.80
Cash Retained (M)76.8476.8476.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.47-19.67-11.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.3757.1765.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)196.99196.99196.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.230.290.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.230.290.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.640.700.74
WACC / Discount Rate-2.35%-2.35%-2.35%
Growth Rate-0.60%0.40%1.40%
Fair Value$127.06$140.36$149.86
Upside / Downside548.24%616.15%664.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)157.36158.00158.64159.28159.93160.58165.39
Payout Ratio51.17%58.94%66.70%74.47%82.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)80.5293.12105.82118.62131.52144.52152.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-2.35%-2.35%-2.35%
Growth Rate-0.60%0.40%1.40%
Year 1 PV (M)94.4195.3696.31
Year 2 PV (M)108.77110.97113.19
Year 3 PV (M)123.62127.39131.23
Year 4 PV (M)138.97144.64150.49
Year 5 PV (M)154.82162.77171.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,389.8217,230.9718,106.31
Equity Value (M)17,010.4117,872.1018,768.57
Shares Outstanding (M)196.99196.99196.99
Fair Value$86.35$90.73$95.28
Upside / Downside340.57%362.89%386.11%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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