Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Zhejiang Jiecang Linear Motion Technology Co.,Ltd. (603583.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.25 - $43.45$27.93
Multi-Stage$14.05 - $15.33$14.68
Blended Fair Value$21.30
Current Price$42.71
Upside-50.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.16%32.05%0.240.370.300.330.240.320.000.120.230.03
YoY Growth---33.49%22.34%-9.11%39.71%-25.75%0.00%-100.00%-50.00%597.57%123.02%
Dividend Yield--0.60%2.03%1.21%1.12%0.46%1.56%0.00%0.79%1.59%0.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)368.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)128.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)240.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)73.7746.1127.66
Cash Retained (M)240.68240.68240.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-73.77-46.11-27.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)166.91194.57213.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)386.51386.51386.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.430.500.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.430.500.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.760.840.88
WACC / Discount Rate9.68%9.68%9.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$19.25$27.93$43.45
Upside / Downside-54.93%-34.61%1.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)368.86392.83418.37445.56474.52505.37520.53
Payout Ratio34.75%45.80%56.85%67.90%78.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)128.18179.92237.84302.54374.64454.83481.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.68%9.68%9.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)162.49164.03165.57
Year 2 PV (M)194.00197.70201.43
Year 3 PV (M)222.87229.27235.79
Year 4 PV (M)249.26258.84268.70
Year 5 PV (M)273.30286.50300.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,328.474,537.544,754.60
Equity Value (M)5,430.405,673.885,926.31
Shares Outstanding (M)386.51386.51386.51
Fair Value$14.05$14.68$15.33
Upside / Downside-67.10%-65.63%-64.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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