Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Square Technology Group Co.,Ltd (603339.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$86.24 - $101.60$95.22
Multi-Stage$61.93 - $67.95$64.88
Blended Fair Value$80.05
Current Price$14.00
Upside471.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.49%23.92%0.260.230.160.130.140.160.120.120.000.11
YoY Growth--14.84%41.53%27.29%-11.06%-10.53%27.14%0.27%0.00%-100.00%251.94%
Dividend Yield--2.13%1.98%1.07%1.15%1.47%1.99%1.00%0.85%0.00%1.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)156.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)71.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)84.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.2219.5111.71
Cash Retained (M)84.5284.5284.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.22-19.51-11.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)53.3065.0172.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)305.52305.52305.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.210.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.210.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.450.47
WACC / Discount Rate1.24%1.24%1.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$86.24$95.22$101.60
Upside / Downside515.99%580.12%625.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)156.09166.23177.04188.55200.80213.85220.27
Payout Ratio45.85%54.68%63.51%72.34%81.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)71.5790.90112.44136.39162.99192.47203.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.24%1.24%1.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)88.9489.7890.63
Year 2 PV (M)107.65109.70111.77
Year 3 PV (M)127.77131.44135.17
Year 4 PV (M)149.39155.14161.05
Year 5 PV (M)172.61180.95189.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,273.0019,155.6020,071.97
Equity Value (M)18,919.3619,822.6020,760.19
Shares Outstanding (M)305.52305.52305.52
Fair Value$61.93$64.88$67.95
Upside / Downside342.32%363.44%385.36%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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