Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Jingjin Equipment Inc. (603279.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$67.67 - $213.53$200.11
Multi-Stage$29.87 - $32.61$31.22
Blended Fair Value$115.67
Current Price$16.04
Upside621.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS32.97%37.98%1.731.010.570.500.420.420.000.170.000.06
YoY Growth--71.78%76.25%15.25%19.12%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%-11.91%
Dividend Yield--10.02%4.80%2.04%1.71%2.87%2.76%0.00%1.22%0.00%0.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)618.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)616.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)123.7377.3346.40
Cash Retained (M)2.072.072.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-123.73-77.33-46.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)-121.65-75.26-44.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)576.16576.16576.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.21-0.13-0.08
LTM Dividend per Share1.071.071.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.21-0.13-0.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.860.940.99
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$67.67$200.11$213.53
Upside / Downside321.85%1,147.59%1,231.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)618.63658.84701.66747.27795.84847.57873.00
Payout Ratio99.67%97.73%95.80%93.87%91.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)616.56643.90672.19701.43731.64762.82807.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)597.02602.68608.34
Year 2 PV (M)577.88588.88599.99
Year 3 PV (M)559.12575.17591.52
Year 4 PV (M)540.74561.53582.92
Year 5 PV (M)522.73547.98574.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,413.4715,109.6515,832.47
Equity Value (M)17,210.9517,985.8918,789.44
Shares Outstanding (M)576.16576.16576.16
Fair Value$29.87$31.22$32.61
Upside / Downside86.23%94.62%103.31%

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