Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

YAPP Automotive Systems Co., Ltd. (603013.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$109.98 - $193.13$180.84
Multi-Stage$100.44 - $111.12$105.67
Blended Fair Value$143.25
Current Price$26.00
Upside450.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.45%10.39%0.450.550.710.720.550.510.140.440.310.07
YoY Growth---17.10%-22.97%-0.93%29.40%7.94%267.29%-68.51%40.86%369.52%-60.25%
Dividend Yield--2.73%3.32%4.55%4.98%4.13%3.44%0.76%2.64%1.87%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)543.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)205.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)337.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)108.6767.9240.75
Cash Retained (M)337.70337.70337.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-108.67-67.92-40.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)229.03269.78296.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)514.30514.30514.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.450.520.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.450.520.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.850.920.98
WACC / Discount Rate-2.45%-2.45%-2.45%
Growth Rate-3.19%-2.19%-1.19%
Fair Value$109.98$180.84$193.13
Upside / Downside323.02%595.53%642.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)543.37531.46519.81508.41497.27486.36500.96
Payout Ratio37.85%48.28%58.71%69.14%79.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)205.67256.59305.18351.52395.68437.73463.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-2.45%-2.45%-2.45%
Growth Rate-3.19%-2.19%-1.19%
Year 1 PV (M)260.34263.03265.72
Year 2 PV (M)314.17320.69327.28
Year 3 PV (M)367.16378.66390.39
Year 4 PV (M)419.32436.92455.06
Year 5 PV (M)470.67495.49521.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)49,825.6952,452.8555,189.67
Equity Value (M)51,657.3654,347.6457,149.47
Shares Outstanding (M)514.30514.30514.30
Fair Value$100.44$105.67$111.12
Upside / Downside286.31%306.43%327.38%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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