DDM Analysis: 601658.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$43.89 - $158.68	$139.12
Multi-Stage	$20.30 - $22.20	$21.23
Blended Fair Value	$80.17
Current Price	$5.75
Upside	1,294.35%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	15.65%	0.00%	0.34	0.35	0.30	0.24	0.19	0.17	0.11	0.05	0.08	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-1.03%	16.82%	22.73%	27.15%	14.67%	52.66%	99.60%	-33.64%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.61%	7.33%	6.41%	4.50%	3.25%	3.16%	1.94%	0.97%	1.47%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	87,223.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	40,673.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	46,550.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	17,444.60	10,902.88	6,541.73
Cash Retained (M)	46,550.00	46,550.00	46,550.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-17,444.60	-10,902.88	-6,541.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)	29,105.40	35,647.13	40,008.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	109,315.17	109,315.17	109,315.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.33	0.37
LTM Dividend per Share	0.37	0.37	0.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.33	0.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.64	0.70	0.74
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$43.89	$139.12	$158.68
Upside / Downside	663.25%	2,319.49%	2,659.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	87,223.00	92,892.50	98,930.51	105,360.99	112,209.45	119,503.07	123,088.16
Payout Ratio	46.63%	55.30%	63.98%	72.65%	81.33%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	40,673.00	51,374.05	63,294.38	76,547.31	91,255.70	107,552.76	113,856.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	47,546.99	47,997.67	48,448.35
Year 2 PV (M)	54,215.52	55,248.17	56,290.57
Year 3 PV (M)	60,683.08	62,425.07	64,200.09
Year 4 PV (M)	66,954.05	69,528.92	72,177.34
Year 5 PV (M)	73,032.76	76,560.27	80,222.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,916,322.44	2,008,881.53	2,104,983.08
Equity Value (M)	2,218,754.84	2,320,641.63	2,426,322.21
Shares Outstanding (M)	109,315.17	109,315.17	109,315.17
Fair Value	$20.30	$21.23	$22.20
Upside / Downside	252.99%	269.20%	286.01%

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Postal Savings Bank of China Co., Ltd. (601658.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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