Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Xiamen Faratronic Co., Ltd. (600563.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$863.49 - $1,017.34$953.40
Multi-Stage$710.97 - $780.25$744.96
Blended Fair Value$849.18
Current Price$126.40
Upside571.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.12%11.09%2.011.861.681.321.331.301.231.101.000.70
YoY Growth--8.22%10.86%27.30%-1.21%2.53%5.72%11.72%10.00%42.76%-0.22%
Dividend Yield--1.84%1.82%1.15%0.66%1.34%2.96%2.53%2.43%2.43%2.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,152.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)459.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)692.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)230.42144.0286.41
Cash Retained (M)692.97692.97692.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-230.42-144.02-86.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)462.55548.96606.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)225.22225.22225.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.052.442.69
LTM Dividend per Share2.042.042.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.052.442.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.094.484.73
WACC / Discount Rate-1.54%-1.54%-1.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$863.49$953.40$1,017.34
Upside / Downside583.14%654.27%704.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,152.121,227.011,306.771,391.711,482.171,578.511,625.86
Payout Ratio39.85%49.88%59.91%69.94%79.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)459.15612.06782.90973.371,185.301,420.661,503.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.54%-1.54%-1.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)615.80621.64627.47
Year 2 PV (M)792.51807.60822.84
Year 3 PV (M)991.341,019.801,048.80
Year 4 PV (M)1,214.561,261.271,309.31
Year 5 PV (M)1,464.641,535.381,608.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)155,048.03162,536.91170,312.41
Equity Value (M)160,126.88167,782.60175,729.66
Shares Outstanding (M)225.22225.22225.22
Fair Value$710.97$744.96$780.25
Upside / Downside462.48%489.37%517.29%

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