Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Shengyi Technology Co.,Ltd. (600183.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.04 - $70.23$41.08
Multi-Stage$19.30 - $21.05$20.16
Blended Fair Value$30.62
Current Price$54.02
Upside-43.32%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.94%7.67%0.500.440.580.380.380.310.270.200.180.15
YoY Growth--13.16%-24.17%51.56%0.67%22.66%12.98%37.24%11.00%21.23%-37.50%
Dividend Yield--1.83%2.49%3.14%2.37%1.67%1.17%2.03%1.63%1.99%2.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,809.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,545.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,263.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)561.92351.20210.72
Cash Retained (M)1,263.751,263.751,263.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-561.92-351.20-210.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)701.83912.551,053.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,395.052,395.052,395.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.380.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.650.650.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.380.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.941.031.09
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$27.04$41.08$70.23
Upside / Downside-49.94%-23.95%30.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,809.592,992.213,186.713,393.843,614.443,849.383,964.86
Payout Ratio55.02%62.02%69.01%76.01%83.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,545.841,855.652,199.212,579.593,000.133,464.443,667.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,683.961,699.931,715.89
Year 2 PV (M)1,811.081,845.581,880.40
Year 3 PV (M)1,927.781,983.122,039.51
Year 4 PV (M)2,034.612,112.862,193.34
Year 5 PV (M)2,132.112,235.102,342.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)36,635.1538,404.6440,241.86
Equity Value (M)46,224.7148,281.2350,413.02
Shares Outstanding (M)2,395.052,395.052,395.05
Fair Value$19.30$20.16$21.05
Upside / Downside-64.27%-62.68%-61.04%

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