Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Chongqing road & bridge co.,ltd (600106.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Infrastructure OperationsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.59 - $0.77$0.69
Multi-Stage$1.34 - $1.48$1.41
Blended Fair Value$1.05
Current Price$6.31
Upside-83.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.75%4.50%0.100.050.060.050.060.060.070.070.050.06
YoY Growth--109.80%-20.69%11.54%-14.63%10.00%-13.29%-4.59%30.67%-8.54%-9.89%
Dividend Yield--1.86%0.75%1.23%1.14%2.30%2.30%1.99%2.28%0.96%0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)229.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)89.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)140.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)45.9628.7317.24
Cash Retained (M)140.67140.67140.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-45.96-28.73-17.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)94.71111.95123.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,286.011,286.011,286.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate8.69%8.69%8.69%
Growth Rate-12.42%-11.42%-10.42%
Fair Value$0.59$0.69$0.77
Upside / Downside-90.60%-89.08%-87.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)229.81203.57180.33159.74141.50125.35129.11
Payout Ratio38.79%49.03%59.27%69.51%79.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)89.1499.81106.88111.04112.86112.81119.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.69%8.69%8.69%
Growth Rate-12.42%-11.42%-10.42%
Year 1 PV (M)90.7991.8392.86
Year 2 PV (M)88.4490.4792.53
Year 3 PV (M)83.5886.4889.44
Year 4 PV (M)77.2780.8684.57
Year 5 PV (M)70.2674.3678.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,306.621,382.941,462.78
Equity Value (M)1,716.971,806.941,900.84
Shares Outstanding (M)1,286.011,286.011,286.01
Fair Value$1.34$1.41$1.48
Upside / Downside-78.84%-77.73%-76.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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