Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Japan Eyewear Holdings Co., Ltd. (5889.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,431.31 - $2,163.66$1,776.44
Multi-Stage$2,906.95 - $3,198.16$3,049.70
Blended Fair Value$2,413.07
Current Price$2,106.00
Upside14.58%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%40.190.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,060.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,587.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,473.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)812.00507.50304.50
Cash Retained (M)2,473.002,473.002,473.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-812.00-507.50-304.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,661.001,965.502,168.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.4124.4124.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share68.0580.5388.84
LTM Dividend per Share65.0265.0265.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share68.0580.5388.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend133.07145.55153.86
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,431.31$1,776.44$2,163.66
Upside / Downside-32.04%-15.65%2.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,060.004,019.403,979.213,939.413,900.023,861.023,976.85
Payout Ratio39.09%49.27%59.45%69.64%79.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,587.001,980.402,365.772,743.233,112.913,474.923,678.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,830.241,848.911,867.59
Year 2 PV (M)2,020.612,062.062,103.93
Year 3 PV (M)2,165.352,232.322,300.65
Year 4 PV (M)2,270.852,364.972,461.98
Year 5 PV (M)2,342.732,464.722,591.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)60,322.3263,463.4466,734.08
Equity Value (M)70,952.1074,436.4278,059.96
Shares Outstanding (M)24.4124.4124.41
Fair Value$2,906.95$3,049.70$3,198.16
Upside / Downside38.03%44.81%51.86%

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