Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Lih Tai Construction Enterprise Co., Ltd. (5520.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$94.56 - $146.90$118.77
Multi-Stage$221.26 - $243.52$232.17
Blended Fair Value$175.47
Current Price$91.50
Upside91.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%4.553.913.883.531.840.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--16.46%0.71%9.86%91.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.59%5.00%6.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)608.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)329.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)278.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)121.6776.0545.63
Cash Retained (M)278.51278.51278.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-121.67-76.05-45.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)156.83202.46232.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.6560.6560.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.593.343.84
LTM Dividend per Share5.445.445.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.593.343.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.028.789.28
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$94.56$118.77$146.90
Upside / Downside3.35%29.80%60.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)608.37602.29596.26590.30584.40578.55595.91
Payout Ratio54.22%61.38%68.53%75.69%82.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)329.86369.66408.63446.79484.14520.70551.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)344.19347.70351.22
Year 2 PV (M)354.26361.53368.87
Year 3 PV (M)360.65371.80383.18
Year 4 PV (M)363.87378.95394.49
Year 5 PV (M)364.38383.35403.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,632.7712,238.5212,869.24
Equity Value (M)13,420.1114,081.8414,770.09
Shares Outstanding (M)60.6560.6560.65
Fair Value$221.26$232.17$243.52
Upside / Downside141.82%153.74%166.14%

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