Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

Loyalty Founder Enterprise Co.,Ltd. (5465.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.32 - $24.75$20.28
Multi-Stage$35.45 - $38.89$37.14
Blended Fair Value$28.71
Current Price$34.10
Upside-15.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS37.97%0.00%1.501.501.151.281.110.300.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%30.43%-10.00%15.00%270.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.35%3.29%4.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)276.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)265.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)55.2434.5320.72
Cash Retained (M)10.3910.3910.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-55.24-34.53-20.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)-44.85-24.14-10.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)147.31147.31147.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.30-0.16-0.07
LTM Dividend per Share1.801.801.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.30-0.16-0.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.501.641.73
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$16.32$20.28$24.75
Upside / Downside-52.14%-40.52%-27.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)276.22273.46270.72268.02265.34262.68270.56
Payout Ratio96.24%94.99%93.74%92.50%91.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)265.83259.76253.78247.90242.11236.41250.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)240.30242.75245.20
Year 2 PV (M)217.18221.63226.13
Year 3 PV (M)196.25202.32208.51
Year 4 PV (M)177.31184.65192.23
Year 5 PV (M)160.16168.50177.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,230.564,450.864,680.23
Equity Value (M)5,221.755,470.715,729.49
Shares Outstanding (M)147.31147.31147.31
Fair Value$35.45$37.14$38.89
Upside / Downside3.95%8.90%14.06%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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