Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust (5212.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - RetailSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.48 - $5.83$3.65
Multi-Stage$2.00 - $2.18$2.09
Blended Fair Value$2.87
Current Price$1.82
Upside57.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.44%3.91%0.090.070.050.040.050.070.070.060.070.07
YoY Growth--23.37%33.07%53.38%-23.70%-35.32%2.74%7.50%-2.95%1.23%8.89%
Dividend Yield--6.05%5.63%4.04%2.68%3.31%4.53%3.85%4.73%3.84%3.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)444.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)176.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)268.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)88.8755.5533.33
Cash Retained (M)268.28268.28268.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-88.87-55.55-33.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)179.41212.74234.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,750.623,750.623,750.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate4.73%5.73%6.73%
Fair Value$2.48$3.65$5.83
Upside / Downside36.19%100.43%220.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)444.36469.85496.79525.28555.41587.26604.88
Payout Ratio39.63%49.70%59.78%69.85%79.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)176.08233.51296.96366.91443.91528.53559.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate4.73%5.73%6.73%
Year 1 PV (M)212.71214.75216.78
Year 2 PV (M)246.41251.14255.91
Year 3 PV (M)277.34285.36293.53
Year 4 PV (M)305.66317.50329.68
Year 5 PV (M)331.51347.64364.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,114.116,411.626,720.60
Equity Value (M)7,487.747,828.008,180.90
Shares Outstanding (M)3,750.623,750.623,750.62
Fair Value$2.00$2.09$2.18
Upside / Downside9.69%14.68%19.85%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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