Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Hap Seng Plantations Holdings Berhad (5138.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.42 - $44.65$41.84
Multi-Stage$7.06 - $7.72$7.38
Blended Fair Value$24.61
Current Price$2.00
Upside1,130.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS35.30%-6.27%0.070.080.200.070.040.010.080.130.080.08
YoY Growth---20.00%-58.54%192.86%100.00%133.34%-80.00%-42.31%62.50%0.00%-38.46%
Dividend Yield--3.47%4.62%11.65%2.77%1.90%1.11%4.36%5.22%3.09%3.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)179.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)99.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)79.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.9122.4413.47
Cash Retained (M)79.5779.5779.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.91-22.44-13.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.6757.1366.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)799.69799.69799.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.200.21
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$23.42$41.84$44.65
Upside / Downside1,071.07%1,992.11%2,132.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)179.53191.20203.63216.87230.96245.98253.36
Payout Ratio55.68%62.54%69.41%76.27%83.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)99.96119.58141.33165.41192.01221.38234.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)111.43112.49113.54
Year 2 PV (M)122.72125.06127.42
Year 3 PV (M)133.83137.67141.59
Year 4 PV (M)144.76150.33156.06
Year 5 PV (M)155.53163.04170.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,975.525,215.845,465.36
Equity Value (M)5,643.795,904.436,174.80
Shares Outstanding (M)799.69799.69799.69
Fair Value$7.06$7.38$7.72
Upside / Downside252.88%269.17%286.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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