Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Bridgestone Corporation (5108.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,633.77 - $19,253.11$11,490.87
Multi-Stage$9,081.90 - $9,951.26$9,508.43
Blended Fair Value$10,499.65
Current Price$6,848.00
Upside53.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.59%9.86%207.48192.26175.96150.97135.31173.98177.75160.63161.72138.86
YoY Growth--7.92%9.26%16.55%11.58%-22.23%-2.13%10.66%-0.67%16.46%71.41%
Dividend Yield--3.46%2.85%3.28%3.17%3.02%5.24%4.10%3.47%3.59%3.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)235,798.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)148,590.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)87,208.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47,159.6029,474.7517,684.85
Cash Retained (M)87,208.0087,208.0087,208.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-47,159.60-29,474.75-17,684.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)40,048.4057,733.2569,523.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)676.41676.41676.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share59.2185.35102.78
LTM Dividend per Share219.68219.68219.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share59.2185.35102.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend278.88305.03322.46
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate2.78%3.78%4.78%
Fair Value$7,633.77$11,490.87$19,253.11
Upside / Downside11.47%67.80%181.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)235,798.00244,717.46253,974.31263,581.32273,551.72283,899.28292,416.26
Payout Ratio63.02%68.41%73.81%79.21%84.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)148,590.00167,417.68187,457.12208,773.06231,433.40255,509.35270,485.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate2.78%3.78%4.78%
Year 1 PV (M)155,630.04157,144.20158,658.37
Year 2 PV (M)161,989.24165,156.65168,354.72
Year 3 PV (M)167,706.85172,649.62177,688.57
Year 4 PV (M)172,820.20179,644.64186,669.24
Year 5 PV (M)177,364.77186,162.45195,305.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,307,550.105,570,816.125,844,426.88
Equity Value (M)6,143,061.206,431,573.696,731,103.61
Shares Outstanding (M)676.41676.41676.41
Fair Value$9,081.90$9,508.43$9,951.26
Upside / Downside32.62%38.85%45.32%

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