Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

New Era Electronics Co., Ltd (4909.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.12 - $44.11$37.53
Multi-Stage$46.31 - $50.87$48.55
Blended Fair Value$43.04
Current Price$74.20
Upside-41.99%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-6.51%0.00%0.490.000.000.300.300.690.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-57.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)446.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)70.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)376.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)89.3755.8633.52
Cash Retained (M)376.85376.85376.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-89.37-55.86-33.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)287.48320.99343.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)94.3094.3094.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.053.403.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.740.740.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.053.403.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.794.154.38
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$31.12$37.53$44.11
Upside / Downside-58.05%-49.41%-40.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)446.87442.40437.98433.60429.26424.97437.72
Payout Ratio15.67%30.53%45.40%60.27%75.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)70.02135.09198.85261.32322.52382.47404.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)121.64122.88124.12
Year 2 PV (M)161.22164.53167.87
Year 3 PV (M)190.77196.67202.69
Year 4 PV (M)212.01220.80229.85
Year 5 PV (M)226.39238.17250.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,455.073,634.993,822.32
Equity Value (M)4,367.104,578.044,797.30
Shares Outstanding (M)94.3094.3094.30
Fair Value$46.31$48.55$50.87
Upside / Downside-37.59%-34.57%-31.44%

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