Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Relia, Inc. (4708.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$708.20 - $1,139.78$902.98
Multi-Stage$1,199.86 - $1,316.90$1,257.26
Blended Fair Value$1,080.12
Current Price$1,457.00
Upside-25.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS4.15%-2.47%43.0044.8240.8439.3338.2635.0930.8530.8630.8446.76
YoY Growth---4.06%9.74%3.84%2.78%9.05%13.75%-0.05%0.06%-34.04%-15.35%
Dividend Yield--2.95%4.19%3.01%3.92%3.04%2.22%2.52%2.90%2.25%4.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,301.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,134.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,166.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)860.20537.63322.58
Cash Retained (M)2,166.012,166.012,166.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-860.20-537.63-322.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,305.811,628.381,843.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)64.8464.8464.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share20.1425.1128.43
LTM Dividend per Share32.9332.9332.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share20.1425.1128.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend53.0758.0461.36
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate-0.10%0.90%1.90%
Fair Value$708.20$902.98$1,139.78
Upside / Downside-51.39%-38.02%-21.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,301.004,339.594,378.534,417.824,457.464,497.464,632.38
Payout Ratio49.64%57.71%65.78%73.86%81.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,134.992,504.452,880.363,262.823,651.904,047.714,284.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate-0.10%0.90%1.90%
Year 1 PV (M)2,309.142,332.262,355.37
Year 2 PV (M)2,448.642,497.912,547.67
Year 3 PV (M)2,557.472,635.042,714.17
Year 4 PV (M)2,639.222,746.502,857.01
Year 5 PV (M)2,697.152,834.882,978.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)65,145.0568,471.5971,932.65
Equity Value (M)77,796.6881,518.1785,385.05
Shares Outstanding (M)64.8464.8464.84
Fair Value$1,199.86$1,257.26$1,316.90
Upside / Downside-17.65%-13.71%-9.62%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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