Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Dynamic Medical Technologies Inc. (4138.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - SpecialtiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$177.43 - $919.86$359.26
Multi-Stage$147.48 - $161.43$154.33
Blended Fair Value$256.79
Current Price$70.00
Upside266.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS18.71%0.00%5.972.532.972.812.692.532.732.862.920.00
YoY Growth--135.71%-14.86%5.71%4.48%6.35%-7.35%-4.49%-1.93%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.23%2.23%5.34%6.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)175.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)150.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.0521.9013.14
Cash Retained (M)24.5924.5924.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.05-21.90-13.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)-10.462.6811.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)37.3437.3437.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.280.070.31
LTM Dividend per Share4.034.034.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.280.070.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.754.114.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.15%6.15%6.15%
Growth Rate3.95%4.95%5.95%
Fair Value$177.43$359.26$919.86
Upside / Downside153.47%413.23%1,214.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)175.23183.90193.00202.54212.56223.07229.77
Payout Ratio85.97%86.78%87.58%88.39%89.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)150.65159.58169.03179.02189.59200.77212.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.15%6.15%6.15%
Growth Rate3.95%4.95%5.95%
Year 1 PV (M)148.91150.34151.77
Year 2 PV (M)147.18150.02152.89
Year 3 PV (M)145.45149.69154.01
Year 4 PV (M)143.74149.35155.12
Year 5 PV (M)142.03149.00156.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,779.415,013.785,257.24
Equity Value (M)5,506.725,762.176,027.28
Shares Outstanding (M)37.3437.3437.34
Fair Value$147.48$154.33$161.43
Upside / Downside110.69%120.46%130.61%

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