Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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YungShin Global Holding Corporation (3705.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50.46 - $91.90$67.66
Multi-Stage$86.35 - $94.65$90.42
Blended Fair Value$79.04
Current Price$58.60
Upside34.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.80%2.86%2.482.391.711.992.172.161.961.472.451.87
YoY Growth--3.53%40.16%-14.08%-8.59%0.73%10.00%33.33%-40.00%31.25%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.39%4.90%3.89%4.71%4.92%4.87%4.73%3.54%5.45%3.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)963.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)869.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)93.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)192.62120.3972.23
Cash Retained (M)93.1293.1293.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-192.62-120.39-72.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)-99.50-27.2720.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)271.47271.47271.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.37-0.100.08
LTM Dividend per Share3.203.203.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.37-0.100.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.843.103.28
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Fair Value$50.46$67.66$91.90
Upside / Downside-13.89%15.47%56.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)963.10981.03999.291,017.901,036.841,056.141,087.83
Payout Ratio90.33%90.26%90.20%90.13%90.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)869.98885.53901.35917.45933.85950.531,006.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Year 1 PV (M)823.05831.21839.37
Year 2 PV (M)778.65794.17809.84
Year 3 PV (M)736.64758.77781.34
Year 4 PV (M)696.90724.96753.85
Year 5 PV (M)659.31692.65727.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,745.9620,744.4321,782.89
Equity Value (M)23,440.5224,546.1825,694.60
Shares Outstanding (M)271.47271.47271.47
Fair Value$86.35$90.42$94.65
Upside / Downside47.35%54.30%61.52%

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