Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ZIGExN Co., Ltd. (3679.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$459.20 - $746.54$587.94
Multi-Stage$378.75 - $412.47$395.31
Blended Fair Value$491.63
Current Price$555.00
Upside-11.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS27.45%0.00%6.734.143.773.233.322.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--62.50%10.05%16.67%-2.70%65.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.39%0.70%0.48%1.02%0.79%0.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,968.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,054.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,914.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)793.60496.00297.60
Cash Retained (M)2,914.002,914.002,914.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-793.60-496.00-297.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,120.402,418.002,616.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)100.39100.39100.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share21.1224.0926.06
LTM Dividend per Share10.5010.5010.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share21.1224.0926.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend31.6234.5836.56
WACC / Discount Rate12.76%12.76%12.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$459.20$587.94$746.54
Upside / Downside-17.26%5.94%34.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,968.004,225.924,500.604,793.145,104.705,436.505,599.60
Payout Ratio26.56%39.25%51.94%64.63%77.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,054.001,658.672,337.503,097.573,946.574,892.855,179.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.76%12.76%12.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,457.101,470.921,484.73
Year 2 PV (M)1,803.891,838.251,872.94
Year 3 PV (M)2,099.952,160.242,221.66
Year 4 PV (M)2,350.382,440.772,533.74
Year 5 PV (M)2,559.822,683.462,811.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,751.5029,091.9030,483.61
Equity Value (M)38,022.6539,685.5441,408.51
Shares Outstanding (M)100.39100.39100.39
Fair Value$378.75$395.31$412.47
Upside / Downside-31.76%-28.77%-25.68%

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