Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

09WOMEN Co., Ltd. (366030.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Sector:

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,994.27 - $2,828.46$2,405.72
Multi-Stage$3,042.90 - $3,338.80$3,188.00
Blended Fair Value$2,796.86
Current Price$4,660.00
Upside-39.98%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%118.82175.43132.30132.300.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---32.27%32.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.05%3.00%1.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,912.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,038.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,873.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,382.50864.06518.44
Cash Retained (M)4,873.664,873.664,873.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,382.50-864.06-518.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,491.164,009.604,355.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.8422.8422.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share152.83175.52190.65
LTM Dividend per Share89.2589.2589.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share152.83175.52190.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend242.08264.78279.91
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,994.27$2,405.72$2,828.46
Upside / Downside-57.20%-48.38%-39.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,912.516,843.386,774.956,707.206,640.126,573.726,770.94
Payout Ratio29.50%41.60%53.70%65.80%77.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,038.852,846.573,637.944,413.205,172.595,916.356,263.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,564.082,590.242,616.41
Year 2 PV (M)2,951.713,012.263,073.42
Year 3 PV (M)3,225.383,325.133,426.91
Year 4 PV (M)3,405.213,546.343,691.81
Year 5 PV (M)3,508.313,691.003,881.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)53,856.3056,660.7359,580.78
Equity Value (M)69,511.0072,825.6976,270.54
Shares Outstanding (M)22.8422.8422.84
Fair Value$3,042.90$3,188.00$3,338.80
Upside / Downside-34.70%-31.59%-28.35%

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