Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Seiren Co.,Ltd. (3569.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43,277.57 - $50,988.31$47,783.52
Multi-Stage$28,567.42 - $31,351.54$29,933.49
Blended Fair Value$38,858.50
Current Price$3,050.00
Upside1,174.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS10.25%13.37%58.4641.7339.0332.6833.8135.8830.3433.3725.2722.24
YoY Growth--40.06%6.94%19.42%-3.35%-5.75%18.24%-9.08%32.08%13.62%33.40%
Dividend Yield--2.51%1.73%1.59%1.62%1.54%2.64%1.96%1.93%1.43%2.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15,149.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,022.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,127.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,029.801,893.631,136.18
Cash Retained (M)11,127.0011,127.0011,127.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,029.80-1,893.63-1,136.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,097.209,233.389,990.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)59.0959.0959.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share137.04156.27169.09
LTM Dividend per Share68.0768.0768.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share137.04156.27169.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend205.11224.34237.15
WACC / Discount Rate2.91%2.91%2.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$43,277.57$47,783.52$50,988.31
Upside / Downside1,318.94%1,466.67%1,571.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15,149.0016,133.6917,182.3718,299.2319,488.6820,755.4421,378.11
Payout Ratio26.55%39.24%51.93%64.62%77.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,022.006,330.818,922.7711,824.9315,066.6818,679.9019,774.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.91%2.91%2.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)6,094.296,152.066,209.82
Year 2 PV (M)8,268.538,426.028,585.00
Year 3 PV (M)10,548.5210,851.3311,159.88
Year 4 PV (M)12,938.2213,435.7913,947.57
Year 5 PV (M)15,441.7216,187.5716,961.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,634,678.141,713,633.701,795,611.08
Equity Value (M)1,687,969.421,768,686.461,852,475.31
Shares Outstanding (M)59.0959.0959.09
Fair Value$28,567.42$29,933.49$31,351.54
Upside / Downside836.64%881.43%927.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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