Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Star Asia Investment Corporation (3468.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$101,160.98 - $246,238.29$150,542.31
Multi-Stage$126,856.88 - $138,951.50$132,790.97
Blended Fair Value$141,666.64
Current Price$58,700.00
Upside141.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.68%0.00%1,815.392,646.512,186.902,022.812,182.311,377.401,317.011,397.61557.160.00
YoY Growth---31.40%21.02%8.11%-7.31%58.44%4.59%-5.77%150.84%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.09%4.66%3.80%3.41%3.61%3.25%2.25%2.60%1.11%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,030.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,424.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,606.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,406.191,503.87902.32
Cash Retained (M)2,606.382,606.382,606.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,406.19-1,503.87-902.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)200.191,102.511,704.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.522.522.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share79.53437.98676.95
LTM Dividend per Share3,743.973,743.973,743.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share79.53437.98676.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,823.504,181.954,420.92
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate2.60%3.60%4.60%
Fair Value$101,160.98$150,542.31$246,238.29
Upside / Downside72.34%156.46%319.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,030.9312,464.5512,913.8013,379.2513,861.4614,361.0614,791.89
Payout Ratio78.34%80.67%83.00%85.33%87.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,424.5510,055.0110,718.6711,417.1012,151.9612,924.9613,682.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate2.60%3.60%4.60%
Year 1 PV (M)9,351.759,442.909,534.04
Year 2 PV (M)9,271.759,453.369,636.73
Year 3 PV (M)9,185.179,456.369,732.83
Year 4 PV (M)9,092.609,452.299,822.55
Year 5 PV (M)8,994.599,441.549,906.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)273,436.29287,023.37301,145.28
Equity Value (M)319,332.16334,269.82349,777.51
Shares Outstanding (M)2.522.522.52
Fair Value$126,856.88$132,790.97$138,951.50
Upside / Downside116.11%126.22%136.71%

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