Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Winstek Semiconductor Co., Ltd. (3265.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$110.24 - $276.23$165.59
Multi-Stage$108.85 - $118.86$113.76
Blended Fair Value$139.67
Current Price$94.40
Upside47.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS31.95%0.00%4.794.992.291.231.501.200.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---4.00%117.39%87.09%-18.04%25.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.12%3.81%3.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)684.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)654.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)30.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)136.9985.6251.37
Cash Retained (M)30.8930.8930.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-136.99-85.62-51.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)-106.10-54.73-20.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)136.60136.60136.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.78-0.40-0.15
LTM Dividend per Share4.794.794.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.78-0.40-0.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.014.394.64
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate3.76%4.76%5.76%
Fair Value$110.24$165.59$276.23
Upside / Downside16.78%75.41%192.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)684.95717.57751.74787.55825.05864.35890.28
Payout Ratio95.49%94.39%93.29%92.20%91.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)654.06677.33701.33726.09751.61777.91823.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate3.76%4.76%5.76%
Year 1 PV (M)623.83629.85635.86
Year 2 PV (M)594.93606.45618.08
Year 3 PV (M)567.28583.84600.72
Year 4 PV (M)540.85562.00583.76
Year 5 PV (M)515.56540.89567.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,025.5112,616.2613,230.00
Equity Value (M)14,867.9715,539.2916,235.64
Shares Outstanding (M)136.60136.60136.60
Fair Value$108.85$113.76$118.86
Upside / Downside15.30%20.51%25.91%

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