Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shikibo Ltd. (3109.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,759.95 - $5,053.34$2,756.32
Multi-Stage$6,267.81 - $6,915.41$6,585.21
Blended Fair Value$4,670.76
Current Price$1,001.00
Upside366.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS15.65%14.42%70.7045.7736.5334.0134.0934.1734.1730.6927.1418.54
YoY Growth--54.48%25.27%7.42%-0.23%-0.23%0.00%11.31%13.08%46.38%0.86%
Dividend Yield--7.25%4.08%3.62%3.80%3.61%3.44%3.50%2.40%1.86%1.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)951.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)290.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)660.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)190.20118.8871.33
Cash Retained (M)660.50660.50660.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-190.20-118.88-71.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)470.30541.63589.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.6712.6712.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share37.1142.7446.49
LTM Dividend per Share22.9222.9222.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share37.1142.7446.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend60.0365.6669.41
WACC / Discount Rate2.91%2.91%2.91%
Growth Rate-0.49%0.51%1.51%
Fair Value$1,759.95$2,756.32$5,053.34
Upside / Downside75.82%175.36%404.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)951.00955.86960.75965.66970.59975.561,004.82
Payout Ratio30.55%42.44%54.33%66.22%78.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)290.50405.64521.96639.45758.12878.00929.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.91%2.91%2.91%
Growth Rate-0.49%0.51%1.51%
Year 1 PV (M)390.27394.19398.11
Year 2 PV (M)483.14492.90502.75
Year 3 PV (M)569.46586.80604.49
Year 4 PV (M)649.56676.06703.37
Year 5 PV (M)723.75760.85799.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)76,617.0380,544.8684,632.15
Equity Value (M)79,433.2083,455.6687,640.33
Shares Outstanding (M)12.6712.6712.67
Fair Value$6,267.81$6,585.21$6,915.41
Upside / Downside526.15%557.86%590.85%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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