Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Industry

Sector

Eastern Province Cement Company (3080.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$138.88 - $561.25$367.93
Multi-Stage$85.72 - $93.84$89.71
Blended Fair Value$228.82
Current Price$31.16
Upside634.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.15%-7.45%1.601.602.093.871.520.761.001.582.392.47
YoY Growth--0.19%-23.61%-45.98%155.24%100.37%-24.18%-36.69%-33.95%-3.46%-28.72%
Dividend Yield--4.39%4.57%5.16%7.88%2.92%2.68%4.12%6.24%8.17%7.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)244.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)137.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)107.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.9930.6218.37
Cash Retained (M)107.50107.50107.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.99-30.62-18.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)58.5176.8889.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)86.0786.0786.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.680.891.04
LTM Dividend per Share1.601.601.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.680.891.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.282.492.63
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate4.60%5.60%6.60%
Fair Value$138.88$367.93$561.25
Upside / Downside345.71%1,080.77%1,701.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)244.95258.67273.16288.46304.61321.68331.33
Payout Ratio56.11%62.89%69.67%76.45%83.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)137.45162.68190.30220.51253.51289.51306.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate4.60%5.60%6.60%
Year 1 PV (M)151.57153.02154.46
Year 2 PV (M)165.19168.37171.57
Year 3 PV (M)178.34183.50188.76
Year 4 PV (M)191.02198.43206.05
Year 5 PV (M)203.24213.14223.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,488.506,804.647,132.99
Equity Value (M)7,377.867,721.108,077.27
Shares Outstanding (M)86.0786.0786.07
Fair Value$85.72$89.71$93.84
Upside / Downside175.09%187.89%201.17%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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