Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Yamama Saudi Cement Company (3020.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.34 - $410.16$193.62
Multi-Stage$61.79 - $67.68$64.68
Blended Fair Value$129.15
Current Price$31.74
Upside306.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS107.40%-12.35%0.991.000.000.010.490.030.000.251.462.95
YoY Growth---1.48%43,068.53%-67.10%-98.54%1,785.27%0.00%-100.00%-82.61%-50.54%-20.11%
Dividend Yield--2.48%3.04%0.01%0.02%1.46%0.14%0.00%1.59%8.00%10.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)422.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)214.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)207.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)84.4152.7631.66
Cash Retained (M)207.98207.98207.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-84.41-52.76-31.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)123.57155.23176.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)202.41202.41202.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.610.770.87
LTM Dividend per Share1.061.061.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.610.770.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.671.821.93
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate4.32%5.32%6.32%
Fair Value$87.34$193.62$410.16
Upside / Downside175.18%510.03%1,192.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)422.07444.54468.21493.13519.39547.04563.45
Payout Ratio50.72%58.58%66.43%74.29%82.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)214.09260.40311.05366.34426.65492.33521.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate4.32%5.32%6.32%
Year 1 PV (M)242.61244.93247.26
Year 2 PV (M)269.99275.19280.44
Year 3 PV (M)296.25304.85313.62
Year 4 PV (M)321.44333.94346.81
Year 5 PV (M)345.58362.46380.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,031.4411,570.3812,130.19
Equity Value (M)12,507.3013,091.7613,698.31
Shares Outstanding (M)202.41202.41202.41
Fair Value$61.79$64.68$67.68
Upside / Downside94.68%103.78%113.22%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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