Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

TianJin JinRong TianYu Precision Machinery Inc. (300988.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.33 - $114.66$41.55
Multi-Stage$14.19 - $15.51$14.84
Blended Fair Value$28.20
Current Price$22.52
Upside25.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.02%27.95%0.270.210.190.230.150.140.020.060.020.08
YoY Growth--24.84%12.70%-16.68%47.18%11.71%518.44%-65.06%257.73%-77.21%246.43%
Dividend Yield--1.30%0.74%0.85%0.71%0.45%0.40%0.06%0.19%0.05%0.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)102.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)68.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.5712.867.72
Cash Retained (M)68.7168.7168.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.57-12.86-7.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)48.1455.8561.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)141.49141.49141.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.340.390.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.340.390.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.640.67
WACC / Discount Rate8.13%8.13%8.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$23.33$41.55$114.66
Upside / Downside3.59%84.52%409.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)102.87109.56116.68124.26132.34140.94145.17
Payout Ratio33.20%44.56%55.92%67.28%78.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.1648.8265.2583.61104.07126.85134.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.13%8.13%8.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)44.7345.1545.58
Year 2 PV (M)54.7655.8156.86
Year 3 PV (M)64.2866.1368.01
Year 4 PV (M)73.3176.1379.03
Year 5 PV (M)81.8685.8189.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,689.011,770.591,855.29
Equity Value (M)2,007.952,099.612,194.67
Shares Outstanding (M)141.49141.49141.49
Fair Value$14.19$14.84$15.51
Upside / Downside-36.98%-34.11%-31.12%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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