Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen Bioeasy Biotechnology Co., Ltd. (300942.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.53 - $0.77$0.65
Multi-Stage$1.05 - $1.16$1.10
Blended Fair Value$0.88
Current Price$10.55
Upside-91.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-5.28%0.00%0.010.020.250.040.110.020.020.070.000.00
YoY Growth---37.20%-91.49%453.33%-59.91%542.86%0.00%-75.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.15%0.23%1.51%0.15%0.47%0.05%0.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.253.912.34
Cash Retained (M)20.1820.1820.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.25-3.91-2.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.9316.2717.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)406.71406.71406.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate7.88%7.88%7.88%
Growth Rate-3.28%-2.28%-1.28%
Fair Value$0.53$0.65$0.77
Upside / Downside-94.95%-93.87%-92.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.2430.5329.8329.1528.4927.8428.67
Payout Ratio35.42%46.34%57.25%68.17%79.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.0714.1517.0819.8722.5325.0526.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.88%7.88%7.88%
Growth Rate-3.28%-2.28%-1.28%
Year 1 PV (M)12.9813.1113.25
Year 2 PV (M)14.3814.6814.98
Year 3 PV (M)15.3515.8316.32
Year 4 PV (M)15.9616.6317.32
Year 5 PV (M)16.2917.1518.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)353.11371.75391.16
Equity Value (M)428.06449.14471.07
Shares Outstanding (M)406.71406.71406.71
Fair Value$1.05$1.10$1.16
Upside / Downside-90.02%-89.53%-89.02%

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