Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Jiangsu Jujie Microfiber Technology Group Co., Ltd. (300819.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.71 - $5.67$4.62
Multi-Stage$5.00 - $5.45$5.22
Blended Fair Value$4.92
Current Price$23.87
Upside-79.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS137.42%0.00%0.310.200.200.200.000.000.100.120.110.08
YoY Growth--51.78%0.00%0.00%5,633.27%-13.32%-96.00%-12.41%3.14%41.50%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.16%1.55%1.43%1.38%0.01%0.02%0.70%0.80%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)45.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.817.384.43
Cash Retained (M)13.8313.8313.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.81-7.38-4.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.016.449.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)148.15148.15148.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.040.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.040.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate9.83%9.83%9.83%
Growth Rate1.13%2.13%3.13%
Fair Value$3.71$4.62$5.67
Upside / Downside-84.48%-80.63%-76.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59.0660.3261.6162.9264.2665.6267.59
Payout Ratio76.59%79.27%81.96%84.64%87.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)45.2447.8250.4953.2556.1159.0662.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.83%9.83%9.83%
Growth Rate1.13%2.13%3.13%
Year 1 PV (M)43.1143.5443.97
Year 2 PV (M)41.0441.8542.68
Year 3 PV (M)39.0240.1941.38
Year 4 PV (M)37.0738.5640.09
Year 5 PV (M)35.1836.9538.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)545.05572.53601.12
Equity Value (M)740.47773.63808.03
Shares Outstanding (M)148.15148.15148.15
Fair Value$5.00$5.22$5.45
Upside / Downside-79.06%-78.12%-77.15%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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