Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Zhejiang Sf Oilless Bearing Co.,Ltd. (300817.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.10 - $14.10$8.92
Multi-Stage$4.60 - $5.01$4.80
Blended Fair Value$6.86
Current Price$20.68
Upside-66.82%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.26%15.33%0.210.180.160.130.100.090.080.060.040.05
YoY Growth--14.03%15.94%19.26%36.11%3.32%11.59%40.57%49.61%-13.77%-7.20%
Dividend Yield--0.82%1.74%1.38%1.29%0.95%0.84%0.55%0.39%0.00%0.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)64.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.868.044.82
Cash Retained (M)19.8819.8819.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.86-8.04-4.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.0211.8415.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)218.29218.29218.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6.10$8.92$14.10
Upside / Downside-70.51%-56.86%-31.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)64.3068.4872.9377.6782.7288.0990.74
Payout Ratio69.08%73.27%77.45%81.63%85.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44.4250.1756.4863.4070.9979.2883.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)45.3645.7946.22
Year 2 PV (M)46.1647.0447.93
Year 3 PV (M)46.8548.1949.56
Year 4 PV (M)47.4149.2451.11
Year 5 PV (M)47.8750.1952.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)770.57807.79846.44
Equity Value (M)1,004.231,048.241,093.84
Shares Outstanding (M)218.29218.29218.29
Fair Value$4.60$4.80$5.01
Upside / Downside-77.75%-76.78%-75.77%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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