Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Anfu CE LINK Limited (300787.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.10 - $62.64$23.20
Multi-Stage$8.18 - $8.93$8.55
Blended Fair Value$15.88
Current Price$13.95
Upside13.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS107.54%31.63%0.270.590.350.190.150.010.140.070.000.02
YoY Growth---55.27%70.76%83.18%23.41%2,130.12%-95.24%98.81%2,035.53%-84.07%26.03%
Dividend Yield--2.28%6.20%2.26%1.62%1.15%0.05%0.66%0.33%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)113.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)63.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)49.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.7214.208.52
Cash Retained (M)49.6449.6449.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.72-14.20-8.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)26.9335.4541.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)275.86275.86275.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.130.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.130.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.38
WACC / Discount Rate8.15%8.15%8.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13.10$23.20$62.64
Upside / Downside-6.12%66.33%349.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)113.59120.97128.83137.21146.13155.62160.29
Payout Ratio56.29%63.04%69.78%76.52%83.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)63.9476.2589.90104.99121.66140.06148.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.15%8.15%8.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)69.8470.5171.17
Year 2 PV (M)75.4276.8578.30
Year 3 PV (M)80.6782.9985.35
Year 4 PV (M)85.6388.9292.31
Year 5 PV (M)90.2994.6599.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,854.601,944.182,037.18
Equity Value (M)2,256.442,358.092,463.48
Shares Outstanding (M)275.86275.86275.86
Fair Value$8.18$8.55$8.93
Upside / Downside-41.36%-38.72%-35.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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