Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Ningbo Exciton Technology Co., Ltd. (300566.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.51 - $37.89$23.11
Multi-Stage$10.99 - $12.00$11.49
Blended Fair Value$17.30
Current Price$18.93
Upside-8.63%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.97%9.07%0.220.150.210.160.100.130.130.100.110.10
YoY Growth--48.11%-29.44%26.05%56.89%-18.58%-0.30%24.03%-1.76%6.29%9.65%
Dividend Yield--1.07%1.02%1.08%0.82%0.35%0.95%1.05%0.75%0.49%1.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)187.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)61.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)126.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.5823.4914.09
Cash Retained (M)126.72126.72126.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.58-23.49-14.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)89.14103.23112.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)264.64264.64264.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.340.390.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.340.390.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.570.620.66
WACC / Discount Rate9.36%9.36%9.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$15.51$23.11$37.89
Upside / Downside-18.07%22.05%100.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)187.88200.09213.10226.95241.70257.41265.13
Payout Ratio32.55%44.04%55.53%67.02%78.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)61.1688.13118.34152.11189.76231.67245.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.36%9.36%9.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)79.8280.5881.34
Year 2 PV (M)97.0998.94100.81
Year 3 PV (M)113.04116.29119.59
Year 4 PV (M)127.74132.65137.71
Year 5 PV (M)141.26148.09155.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,350.042,463.552,581.40
Equity Value (M)2,909.013,040.103,176.02
Shares Outstanding (M)264.64264.64264.64
Fair Value$10.99$11.49$12.00
Upside / Downside-41.93%-39.31%-36.60%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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