Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sinocare Inc. (300298.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.33 - $34.04$19.08
Multi-Stage$8.57 - $9.35$8.95
Blended Fair Value$14.02
Current Price$19.93
Upside-29.67%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.18%7.19%0.240.260.290.240.320.310.260.220.160.12
YoY Growth---9.10%-9.87%22.24%-25.86%3.23%21.39%16.73%34.29%32.51%3.63%
Dividend Yield--1.00%1.24%0.91%1.28%1.04%2.10%1.90%1.09%1.28%0.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)281.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)133.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)148.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)56.3935.2421.15
Cash Retained (M)148.82148.82148.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-56.39-35.24-21.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)92.43113.58127.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)553.08553.08553.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.450.47
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$12.33$19.08$34.04
Upside / Downside-38.13%-4.25%70.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)281.95300.28319.80340.58362.72386.30397.89
Payout Ratio47.22%55.77%64.33%72.89%81.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)133.13167.48205.73248.24295.41347.67368.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)152.22153.66155.11
Year 2 PV (M)169.95173.19176.46
Year 3 PV (M)186.39191.74197.20
Year 4 PV (M)201.61209.36217.33
Year 5 PV (M)215.66226.07236.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,811.693,995.794,186.95
Equity Value (M)4,737.514,949.825,169.92
Shares Outstanding (M)553.08553.08553.08
Fair Value$8.57$8.95$9.35
Upside / Downside-57.02%-55.10%-53.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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