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Definitive Analysis

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SOSiLA Logistics REIT, Inc. (2979.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - IndustrialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$91,560.39 - $140,622.09$114,427.68
Multi-Stage$207,542.87 - $228,032.27$217,587.98
Blended Fair Value$166,007.83
Current Price$110,000.00
Upside50.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%5,457.325,132.024,580.844,230.931,534.020.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--6.34%12.03%8.27%175.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.57%4.24%3.33%2.64%1.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,330.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,984.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,346.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,466.19916.37549.82
Cash Retained (M)1,346.921,346.921,346.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,466.19-916.37-549.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)-119.27430.55797.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.730.730.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share-163.94591.821,095.67
LTM Dividend per Share8,225.458,225.458,225.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share-163.94591.821,095.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend8,061.518,817.279,321.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$91,560.39$114,427.68$140,622.09
Upside / Downside-16.76%4.03%27.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,330.937,257.627,185.057,113.207,042.066,971.647,180.79
Payout Ratio81.63%83.30%84.98%86.65%88.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,984.026,045.716,105.586,163.646,219.936,274.486,642.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,612.615,669.895,727.16
Year 2 PV (M)5,262.145,370.075,479.11
Year 3 PV (M)4,931.635,084.145,239.77
Year 4 PV (M)4,620.154,811.635,009.01
Year 5 PV (M)4,326.794,552.104,786.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)126,234.12132,807.42139,651.75
Equity Value (M)150,987.43158,295.25165,893.48
Shares Outstanding (M)0.730.730.73
Fair Value$207,542.87$217,587.98$228,032.27
Upside / Downside88.68%97.81%107.30%

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