Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kyungdong City Gas Co., Ltd (267290.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$61,560.48 - $105,634.25$80,608.08
Multi-Stage$115,663.64 - $127,285.99$121,361.94
Blended Fair Value$100,985.01
Current Price$20,350.00
Upside396.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS4.54%0.00%875.13875.13875.13875.13874.88701.01600.400.380.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.03%24.80%16.76%159,174.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.02%4.49%3.96%3.86%4.45%4.58%2.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29,016.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,154.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)23,862.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,803.373,627.112,176.26
Cash Retained (M)23,862.7323,862.7323,862.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,803.37-3,627.11-2,176.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)18,059.3620,235.6221,686.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.895.895.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,065.453,434.863,681.13
LTM Dividend per Share874.88874.88874.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,065.453,434.863,681.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,940.334,309.744,556.01
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-0.07%0.93%1.93%
Fair Value$61,560.48$80,608.08$105,634.25
Upside / Downside202.51%296.11%419.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29,016.8529,286.3829,558.4129,832.9630,110.0730,389.7531,301.45
Payout Ratio17.76%32.21%46.66%61.11%75.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,154.129,433.1513,791.2218,229.4422,748.9127,350.7828,953.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-0.07%0.93%1.93%
Year 1 PV (M)8,784.088,871.998,959.89
Year 2 PV (M)11,958.6612,199.2012,442.14
Year 3 PV (M)14,719.5015,165.8315,621.10
Year 4 PV (M)17,104.8917,799.9218,515.92
Year 5 PV (M)19,150.0320,127.5821,144.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)609,686.29640,809.00673,189.90
Equity Value (M)681,403.45714,973.52749,873.61
Shares Outstanding (M)5.895.895.89
Fair Value$115,663.64$121,361.94$127,285.99
Upside / Downside468.37%496.37%525.48%

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