Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

HD Hyundai Co., Ltd. (267250.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,174,941.20 - $1,385,230.06$1,297,722.35
Multi-Stage$722,459.21 - $795,314.64$758,182.88
Blended Fair Value$1,027,952.61
Current Price$129,500.00
Upside693.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172015
DPS3.75%0.00%4,600.035,499.584,599.685,549.563,827.463,827.430.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---16.36%19.56%-17.12%44.99%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.34%7.80%7.92%10.32%6.57%9.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)510,037.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)254,395.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)255,642.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)102,007.5663,754.7338,252.84
Cash Retained (M)255,642.10255,642.10255,642.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-102,007.56-63,754.73-38,252.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)153,634.53191,887.37217,389.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)70.6770.6770.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,174.032,715.343,076.21
LTM Dividend per Share3,599.873,599.873,599.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,174.032,715.343,076.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend5,773.906,315.216,676.08
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate1.75%2.75%3.75%
Fair Value$1,174,941.20$1,297,722.35$1,385,230.06
Upside / Downside807.29%902.10%969.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)510,037.81524,042.53538,431.80553,216.17568,406.49584,013.91601,534.33
Payout Ratio49.88%57.90%65.93%73.95%81.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)254,395.71303,432.43354,970.26409,109.58465,954.42525,612.52556,419.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate1.75%2.75%3.75%
Year 1 PV (M)296,002.15298,911.38301,820.61
Year 2 PV (M)337,798.49344,471.17351,209.11
Year 3 PV (M)379,785.40391,093.88402,624.65
Year 4 PV (M)421,963.53438,798.63456,132.53
Year 5 PV (M)464,333.54487,604.82511,799.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)49,154,864.4551,618,387.5954,179,707.97
Equity Value (M)51,054,747.5753,579,267.4656,203,294.78
Shares Outstanding (M)70.6770.6770.67
Fair Value$722,459.21$758,182.88$795,314.64
Upside / Downside457.88%485.47%514.14%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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