Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Dekon Food & Agriculture Group (2419.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$143.00 - $222.26$179.64
Multi-Stage$323.42 - $356.70$339.73
Blended Fair Value$259.69
Current Price$72.57
Upside257.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.260.000.000.300.070.050.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%309.53%45.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,801.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)449.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,351.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,160.38725.23435.14
Cash Retained (M)5,351.895,351.895,351.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,160.38-725.23-435.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,191.514,626.654,916.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)383.11383.11383.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.9412.0812.83
LTM Dividend per Share1.171.171.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.9412.0812.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.1213.2514.01
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$143.00$179.64$222.26
Upside / Downside97.06%147.54%206.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,801.885,743.865,686.425,629.565,573.265,517.535,683.05
Payout Ratio7.76%24.20%40.65%57.10%73.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)449.991,390.292,311.733,214.614,099.204,965.775,256.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,294.641,307.851,321.07
Year 2 PV (M)2,004.612,045.732,087.27
Year 3 PV (M)2,595.782,676.062,757.97
Year 4 PV (M)3,082.373,210.123,341.80
Year 5 PV (M)3,477.123,658.183,846.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)111,451.29117,254.82123,297.63
Equity Value (M)123,905.82130,152.76136,652.44
Shares Outstanding (M)383.11383.11383.11
Fair Value$323.42$339.73$356.70
Upside / Downside345.67%368.14%391.52%

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