Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

ManpowerGroup Greater China Limited (2180.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.35 - $17.27$14.13
Multi-Stage$23.55 - $25.92$24.71
Blended Fair Value$19.42
Current Price$3.91
Upside396.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-7.06%0.00%0.290.111.700.280.250.410.730.000.000.00
YoY Growth--154.54%-93.41%517.80%9.48%-38.91%-43.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.90%2.06%29.09%3.76%2.32%4.74%8.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)263.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)80.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)182.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52.6132.8819.73
Cash Retained (M)182.13182.13182.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-52.61-32.88-19.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)129.52149.25162.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)203.75203.75203.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.640.730.80
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.640.730.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.031.131.19
WACC / Discount Rate6.92%6.92%6.92%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.35$14.13$17.27
Upside / Downside190.37%261.37%341.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)263.06260.43257.83255.25252.69250.17257.67
Payout Ratio30.76%42.61%54.46%66.31%78.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)80.93110.97140.41169.24197.49225.15238.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.92%6.92%6.92%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)102.75103.79104.84
Year 2 PV (M)120.36122.83125.32
Year 3 PV (M)134.33138.48142.72
Year 4 PV (M)145.12151.14157.34
Year 5 PV (M)153.19161.16169.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,141.684,357.354,581.91
Equity Value (M)4,797.435,034.765,281.60
Shares Outstanding (M)203.75203.75203.75
Fair Value$23.55$24.71$25.92
Upside / Downside502.19%531.98%562.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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