Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Smart-Core Holdings Limited (2166.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.08 - $8.46$6.57
Multi-Stage$9.93 - $10.92$10.41
Blended Fair Value$8.49
Current Price$1.67
Upside408.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.57%0.00%0.070.060.120.080.040.060.050.020.070.00
YoY Growth--15.71%-51.39%48.53%96.31%-34.07%20.98%150.23%-67.82%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.45%3.73%5.29%5.26%3.37%4.26%3.09%1.23%3.31%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)207.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)78.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)128.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.4525.9115.54
Cash Retained (M)128.44128.44128.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.45-25.91-15.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)86.99102.54112.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)473.68473.68473.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.220.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.220.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.350.380.40
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-0.43%0.57%1.57%
Fair Value$5.08$6.57$8.46
Upside / Downside204.38%293.67%406.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)207.26208.45209.64210.85212.06213.28219.67
Payout Ratio38.03%48.42%58.82%69.21%79.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)78.81100.93123.30145.93168.81191.95203.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-0.43%0.57%1.57%
Year 1 PV (M)93.8994.8395.78
Year 2 PV (M)106.70108.85111.03
Year 3 PV (M)117.47121.04124.69
Year 4 PV (M)126.40131.56136.87
Year 5 PV (M)133.70140.55147.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,124.974,336.304,556.21
Equity Value (M)4,703.134,933.145,172.25
Shares Outstanding (M)473.68473.68473.68
Fair Value$9.93$10.41$10.92
Upside / Downside494.55%523.63%553.85%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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