Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Alkhorayef Water & Power Technologies (2081.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$59.08 - $87.52$72.68
Multi-Stage$107.30 - $118.08$112.59
Blended Fair Value$92.63
Current Price$140.10
Upside-33.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.002.141.070.570.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%100.00%87.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%2.25%1.56%0.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)259.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)206.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.8532.4119.44
Cash Retained (M)206.76206.76206.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.85-32.41-19.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)154.91174.35187.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.0035.0035.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.434.985.35
LTM Dividend per Share1.501.501.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.434.985.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.936.486.85
WACC / Discount Rate7.83%7.83%7.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$59.08$72.68$87.52
Upside / Downside-57.83%-48.12%-37.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)259.26256.67254.10251.56249.05246.56253.95
Payout Ratio20.25%34.20%48.15%62.10%76.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.5087.78122.35156.22189.40221.90234.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.83%7.83%7.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)80.5881.4182.23
Year 2 PV (M)103.11105.23107.36
Year 3 PV (M)120.87124.60128.42
Year 4 PV (M)134.52140.10145.85
Year 5 PV (M)144.69152.22160.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,171.813,336.983,508.95
Equity Value (M)3,755.593,940.544,132.88
Shares Outstanding (M)35.0035.0035.00
Fair Value$107.30$112.59$118.08
Upside / Downside-23.41%-19.64%-15.72%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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