Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Saudi Ceramic Company (2040.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.60 - $6.70$5.62
Multi-Stage$8.41 - $9.21$8.81
Blended Fair Value$7.21
Current Price$32.10
Upside-77.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.431.070.640.000.000.000.541.091.09
YoY Growth---100.00%-59.93%66.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-50.69%0.00%-10.35%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.61%4.26%1.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%4.59%7.50%5.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)57.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)49.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.557.224.33
Cash Retained (M)7.917.917.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.55-7.22-4.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.640.693.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)93.2793.2793.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.040.010.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.530.530.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.040.010.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.500.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate8.55%8.55%8.55%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.60$5.62$6.70
Upside / Downside-85.66%-82.50%-79.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)57.7557.1756.6056.0355.4754.9256.56
Payout Ratio86.31%87.05%87.79%88.52%89.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)49.8449.7649.6849.6049.5149.4252.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.55%8.55%8.55%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)45.3845.8546.31
Year 2 PV (M)41.3242.1743.02
Year 3 PV (M)37.6238.7839.97
Year 4 PV (M)34.2535.6737.13
Year 5 PV (M)31.1832.8034.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)595.11626.10658.36
Equity Value (M)784.86821.36859.29
Shares Outstanding (M)93.2793.2793.27
Fair Value$8.41$8.81$9.21
Upside / Downside-73.79%-72.57%-71.30%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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