Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HAESUNG DS Co., Ltd. (195870.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34,659.22 - $86,649.45$52,020.50
Multi-Stage$24,930.26 - $27,191.07$26,040.35
Blended Fair Value$39,030.43
Current Price$30,800.00
Upside26.72%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.57%0.00%898.01898.01598.67449.00349.22299.34299.34249.450.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%50.00%33.33%28.57%16.67%0.00%20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.43%1.70%1.13%0.86%1.05%2.17%2.10%1.26%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)26,465.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13,600.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,865.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,293.063,308.161,984.90
Cash Retained (M)12,865.2912,865.2912,865.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,293.06-3,308.16-1,984.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,572.239,557.1310,880.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.0417.0417.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share444.44560.94638.61
LTM Dividend per Share798.23798.23798.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share444.44560.94638.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,242.671,359.171,436.83
WACC / Discount Rate9.28%9.28%9.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$34,659.22$52,020.50$86,649.45
Upside / Downside12.53%68.90%181.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)26,465.2928,185.5330,017.5931,968.7434,046.7136,259.7437,347.53
Payout Ratio51.39%59.11%66.83%74.56%82.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13,600.0016,660.6020,061.6123,834.3628,012.8232,633.7734,546.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.28%9.28%9.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)15,102.2815,245.4315,388.58
Year 2 PV (M)16,484.2716,798.2517,115.19
Year 3 PV (M)17,752.4918,262.1018,781.37
Year 4 PV (M)18,913.1819,640.5220,388.65
Year 5 PV (M)19,972.2420,936.9121,938.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)336,531.15352,785.73369,662.41
Equity Value (M)424,755.60443,668.94463,274.69
Shares Outstanding (M)17.0417.0417.04
Fair Value$24,930.26$26,040.35$27,191.07
Upside / Downside-19.06%-15.45%-11.72%

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