Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Uju Holding Limited (1948.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.26 - $7.27$5.57
Multi-Stage$17.20 - $18.99$18.07
Blended Fair Value$11.82
Current Price$2.65
Upside346.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.050.020.080.160.010.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--145.72%-77.95%-46.14%1,207.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.34%1.07%2.76%2.89%0.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)208.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)49.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)159.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.7726.1015.66
Cash Retained (M)159.42159.42159.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.77-26.10-15.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)117.65133.31143.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)590.92590.92590.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.310.33
WACC / Discount Rate4.50%4.50%4.50%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.26$5.57$7.27
Upside / Downside60.87%110.07%174.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)208.83206.74204.67202.63200.60198.59204.55
Payout Ratio23.66%36.93%50.20%63.46%76.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)49.4176.35102.74128.60153.93178.73189.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.50%4.50%4.50%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)72.3273.0673.80
Year 2 PV (M)92.1994.0895.99
Year 3 PV (M)109.31112.69116.14
Year 4 PV (M)123.94129.08134.37
Year 5 PV (M)136.33143.43150.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,626.9810,128.2810,650.25
Equity Value (M)10,161.0810,680.6311,221.38
Shares Outstanding (M)590.92590.92590.92
Fair Value$17.20$18.07$18.99
Upside / Downside548.88%582.06%616.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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