Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

China Leon Inspection Holding Limited (1586.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.73 - $14.19$8.57
Multi-Stage$3.99 - $4.36$4.17
Blended Fair Value$6.37
Current Price$2.51
Upside153.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.09%0.00%0.020.040.030.040.020.010.020.020.000.00
YoY Growth---63.04%50.36%-27.21%64.53%360.31%-70.00%-16.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.70%2.88%2.40%2.92%3.43%0.62%1.76%2.20%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)155.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)121.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.0519.4011.64
Cash Retained (M)121.73121.73121.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.05-19.40-11.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)90.68102.32110.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)599.44599.44599.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.170.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.170.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.24
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5.73$8.57$14.19
Upside / Downside128.24%241.51%465.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)155.23165.32176.06187.51199.70212.68219.06
Payout Ratio21.58%35.27%48.95%62.63%76.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.5058.3086.18117.44152.40191.41202.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)52.8353.3353.83
Year 2 PV (M)70.7772.1273.48
Year 3 PV (M)87.4089.9092.46
Year 4 PV (M)102.77106.72110.79
Year 5 PV (M)116.97122.62128.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,960.772,055.482,153.81
Equity Value (M)2,391.512,500.182,612.86
Shares Outstanding (M)599.44599.44599.44
Fair Value$3.99$4.17$4.36
Upside / Downside58.95%66.17%73.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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