Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

3SBio Inc. (1530.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.43 - $178.42$79.76
Multi-Stage$29.75 - $32.53$31.11
Blended Fair Value$55.44
Current Price$21.57
Upside157.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS102.41%-1.70%0.230.090.170.000.000.010.060.000.000.00
YoY Growth--146.83%-46.09%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-89.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.96%1.35%2.32%0.00%0.00%0.07%0.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,017.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)779.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,237.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)803.44502.15301.29
Cash Retained (M)3,237.223,237.223,237.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-803.44-502.15-301.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,433.782,735.072,935.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,454.552,454.552,454.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.991.111.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.991.111.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.311.431.51
WACC / Discount Rate8.41%8.41%8.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$47.43$79.76$178.42
Upside / Downside119.90%269.78%727.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,017.194,278.304,556.394,852.565,167.975,503.895,669.01
Payout Ratio19.42%33.53%47.65%61.77%75.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)779.971,434.632,171.102,997.253,921.624,953.505,243.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.41%8.41%8.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,310.891,323.311,335.74
Year 2 PV (M)1,812.721,847.241,882.10
Year 3 PV (M)2,286.642,352.282,419.17
Year 4 PV (M)2,733.802,838.932,947.07
Year 5 PV (M)3,155.283,307.683,465.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)61,717.3364,698.3067,793.36
Equity Value (M)73,016.6576,367.7579,843.34
Shares Outstanding (M)2,454.552,454.552,454.55
Fair Value$29.75$31.11$32.53
Upside / Downside37.91%44.24%50.81%

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