Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Cathay Consolidated, Inc. (1342.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$546.87 - $1,076.75$1,009.07
Multi-Stage$172.22 - $188.23$180.08
Blended Fair Value$594.58
Current Price$86.10
Upside590.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS48.14%0.00%4.504.792.572.141.950.630.380.380.380.00
YoY Growth---6.13%86.70%20.00%9.49%209.83%66.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.81%3.77%1.82%3.70%3.78%1.54%0.61%0.61%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)429.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)376.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)85.8753.6732.20
Cash Retained (M)52.5652.5652.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-85.87-53.67-32.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)-33.31-1.1120.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)79.3079.3079.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.42-0.010.26
LTM Dividend per Share4.754.754.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.42-0.010.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.334.745.01
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$546.87$1,009.07$1,076.75
Upside / Downside535.15%1,071.98%1,150.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)429.35457.26486.98518.63552.35588.25605.90
Payout Ratio87.76%88.21%88.66%89.10%89.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)376.80403.34431.74462.12494.64529.42560.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)375.74379.30382.87
Year 2 PV (M)374.68381.82389.03
Year 3 PV (M)373.62384.34395.27
Year 4 PV (M)372.55386.88401.61
Year 5 PV (M)371.47389.41408.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,789.2812,358.7112,949.93
Equity Value (M)13,657.3514,280.4714,926.75
Shares Outstanding (M)79.3079.3079.30
Fair Value$172.22$180.08$188.23
Upside / Downside100.03%109.15%118.62%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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